On Monday night I tweeted a useful post by on judging forecasts by Dart Throwing Chimp, noting that
forecasts are probabilities, not absolutes, and we really ought to evaluate them as such.
Several of my FB friends who know this well have nonetheless succumbed to the temptation to jump on the “big winner” bandwagon and proclaim that Nate Silver, quants, science, etc. were proven right by the US Presidential Election. D’oh! [bangs his head repeatedly on his desk.]
To quote Mike Ditka: Stop it!